Ourense CF vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALL
0 - 2
OUR
62%
20%
19%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OUR
3 - 3
RIB
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
OUR
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
OUR
2 - 1
TAB
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 2
OUR
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
COV
1 - 2
AVI
58%
21%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 3
COV
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COV
1 - 0
VAL
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RUA
2 - 2
COV
64%
19%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALL
1 - 0
COV
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |