Pontassolense vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+524%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontassolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PON
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 2
PON
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PON
2 - 1
1MA
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PON
3 - 2
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
AND
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAC
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |