Ponferradina vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
GIN
2 - 1
PON
42%
29%
30%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PON
1 - 1
SPB
61%
25%
15%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ALO
0 - 0
PON
50%
27%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
PON
4 - 1
CEL
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
GRA
1 - 3
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
NAV
4 - 0
CAC
50%
28%
22%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 2
ARO
58%
24%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAC
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 1
RAC
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |