Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Ponferradina vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACF
1 - 2
PON
13%
27%
60%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RUN
1 - 2
PON
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
RJA
2 - 1
PON
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RJA
4 - 1
SEV
42%
29%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CDB
1 - 3
RJA
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 2
MEL
44%
30%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 1
RJA
36%
28%
35%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |