Ponferradina vs Real Jaén analysis


63	ELO	63
0%	Tilt	-9.3%
1020º	General ELO ranking	5009º
44º	Country ELO ranking	171º
ELO win probability

45.6%

Ponferradina

25.5%

Draw

28.9%

Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%

25.5%

Draw

0-0

7%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

5.3%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.5%

28.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-2%

-17%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ponferradina

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 May. 2009	PON 3 - 1 POL 31% 26% 44%	61	71	10	0
17 May. 2009	POL 0 - 0 PON 62% 21% 17%	60	71	11	+1
10 May. 2009	RSO 1 - 3 PON 28% 29% 44%	60	50	10	0
03 May. 2009	PON 1 - 1 SES 60% 24% 16%	60	54	6	0
25 Apr. 2009	LEM 2 - 0 PON 27% 29% 43%	61	54	7	-1

Matches

Real Jaén

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 May. 2009	RJA 5 - 0 LEG 46% 28% 26%	63	55	8	0
17 May. 2009	LEG 2 - 2 RJA 33% 27% 40%	63	55	8	0
10 May. 2009	RJA 1 - 0 POL 23% 29% 49%	62	72	10	+1
03 May. 2009	MAR 0 - 0 RJA 40% 28% 33%	62	58	4	0
26 Apr. 2009	RJA 0 - 1 CAD 22% 28% 50%	63	73	10	-1