Ponferradina vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
GIM
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 0
PON
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PON
1 - 0
ATH
69%
20%
10%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 0
PON
39%
29%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
CCF
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OSA
4 - 0
LUG
53%
27%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZAR
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEG
0 - 0
LUG
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALM
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |