Ponferradina vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
PON
2 - 0
LER
90%
8%
3%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
PON
3 - 0
MED
82%
12%
7%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
CDG
0 - 3
PON
20%
27%
53%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
PON
1 - 1
LEO
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ACF
0 - 0
PON
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
AST
3 - 0
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
AST
0 - 1
SLA
34%
29%
37%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
LEO
4 - 0
AST
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
AST
3 - 0
ACF
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CFB
1 - 6
AST
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |