Ponferradina B vs Sariegos del Bernesga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BET
1 - 0
PON
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
PON
4 - 1
PEN
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MED
0 - 1
PON
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
PON
0 - 1
BEN
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
RIB
0 - 1
PON
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sariegos del Bernesga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 2
SBE
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SBE
1 - 1
BET
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 2
SBE
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SBE
5 - 2
MED
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 0
SBE
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |