Pomigliano vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 4
POM
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
POM
1 - 0
BIS
29%
26%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 1
POM
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
POM
2 - 2
FON
45%
27%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
POM
1 - 3
FRA
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 2
REA
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SER
0 - 0
FRA
21%
22%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
RPO
48%
22%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
FRA
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |