Pomigliano vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
POM
77%
17%
7%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
POM
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
POM
1 - 0
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 3
POM
18%
26%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POM
0 - 0
BUD
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ANZ
1 - 1
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BUD
1 - 1
ANZ
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ANZ
1 - 2
POR
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AST
2 - 2
ANZ
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ANZ
4 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |