Pombal vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OVI
0 - 2
POM
30%
21%
49%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PER
4 - 0
POM
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POM
2 - 0
VIM
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
UFT
20%
20%
61%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
POM
0 - 4
LEC
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
MAF
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
TON
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TON
0 - 1
BEL
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PAÇ
5 - 1
TON
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TON
2 - 2
ACV
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |