Pombal U19 vs Marinhense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
6º
5º
18
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pombal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 3
POM
47%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
POM
2 - 1
ASN
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
POM
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POM
2 - 3
UDO
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
POM
0 - 2
ACV
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
GOU
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 3
MAR
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 1
MAR
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |