Pomar vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ADT
3 - 1
POM
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
POM
0 - 3
ROB
35%
26%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
UDB
22%
23%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 0
POM
60%
22%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
POM
1 - 1
CDA
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 1
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
UDM
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SDE
2 - 2
UDM
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
UDM
3 - 0
SAA
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDM
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |