CD Lugo B vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PON
0 - 4
POL
21%
22%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POL
2 - 2
ARO
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
POL
0 - 0
UPH
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARZ
3 - 2
POL
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SIL
1 - 0
POL
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
BOU
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
CHO
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BER
2 - 1
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CHO
5 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
CHO
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |