Poltava vs Ternopil' analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 2
POL
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
ZIR
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POL
2 - 1
BUK
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 0
POL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 1
CHD
25%
30%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ternopil'
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TER
2 - 1
ARS
14%
24%
62%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
2 - 0
TER
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INH
3 - 0
TER
62%
21%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
HSP
31%
27%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
SST
1 - 0
TER
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |