Poltava vs Hirnyk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
MET
1 - 2
POL
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
POL
1 - 0
ILL
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
STA
4 - 0
POL
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
OKM
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hirnyk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 1
SUM
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DPD
0 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
SHD
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SHA
0 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
KRE
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |