Polotsk vs FK Smorgon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
POL
1 - 3
SKV
28%
28%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
GOM
11%
21%
68%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BYA
0 - 0
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
POL
0 - 5
REC
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
DNP
5 - 0
POL
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FK Smorgon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 3
NEM
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SKV
5 - 0
FCS
68%
19%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FCS
1 - 0
BYA
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
REC
2 - 2
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
DNP
14%
23%
63%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |