Polonia U19 vs Luxemburgo U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
POL
1 - 3
GEO
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
UKR
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
POL
1 - 3
ITA
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
IRL
1 - 0
POL
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
POL
0 - 2
HUN
43%
25%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luxemburgo U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
TUR
3 - 0
LUX
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 3
SRB
12%
18%
69%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
IRL
5 - 0
LUX
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
LUX
1 - 2
MDA
42%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |