Polonia U19 vs Finlandia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SVK
1 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 4
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
NED
19%
20%
61%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UKR
0 - 0
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Finlandia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
28%
23%
50%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
FIN
1 - 3
DEN
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
FIN
3 - 0
BLR
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 14 | 38 | 0 |