European U19 Championship qualifying Final
Global 2-2
Polonia U19 vs Alemania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
GER
0 - 0
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
POL
3 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
WAL
0 - 1
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alemania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
GER
0 - 0
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
GER
2 - 1
TUR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
GER
3 - 1
SWE
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2001 |
TUR
2 - 2
GER
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
0 - 4
GER
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |