Polonia U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
DEN
3 - 3
POL
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
ISL
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
GER
14%
18%
68%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
KOS
0 - 4
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 3
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
UKR
1 - 1
SVN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
UKR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
POR
3 - 3
UKR
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SRB
1 - 0
UKR
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 1
UKR
81%
13%
7%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |