Polonia U21 vs Ucrania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
GEO
0 - 5
POL
29%
25%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
KAZ
3 - 0
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
FIN
1 - 0
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
CZE
0 - 1
UKR
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
UKR
4 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
UKR
0 - 1
BGR
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
BLR
0 - 0
UKR
50%
23%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |