Poland U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BIH
0 - 0
POL
44%
23%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
RUS
4 - 1
POL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
GRC
2 - 0
POL
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MDA
2 - 4
POL
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BLR
2 - 0
LTU
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
1 - 2
UKR
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
TJK
2 - 4
LTU
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
MDA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 0
TUK
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |