Polonia U21 vs Islandia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
GER
14%
18%
68%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
KOS
0 - 4
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 3
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
MKD
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
BGR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 0
ISL
77%
15%
9%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ISL
0 - 2
LTU
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 2
WAL
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ISL
4 - 2
DEN
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CZE
4 - 1
ISL
61%
22%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |