Polonia U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
SRB
1 - 0
POL
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
POL
1 - 0
RUS
34%
24%
43%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
EST
0 - 6
POL
8%
15%
78%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
MNE
1 - 0
POL
7%
12%
81%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BGR
3 - 0
POL
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 0
LVA
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
SRB
1 - 2
BGR
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
RUS
2 - 0
BGR
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
BGR
3 - 0
POL
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LVA
0 - 0
BGR
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |