Poland U20 vs Ukraine U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
POL
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NED
4 - 1
POL
42%
23%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
POL
3 - 0
CZE
20%
20%
59%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
SUI
1 - 0
POL
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 3
ITA
21%
20%
59%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Ukraine U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
POL
2 - 0
UKR
43%
23%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
SVK
1 - 1
UKR
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
UKR
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
UKR
1 - 1
SEN
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
UKR
3 - 0
USA
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |