Polonia Środa vs Lech Poznań II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Środa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CIP
1 - 4
PSR
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
PSR
2 - 0
DFC
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PMO
0 - 1
PSR
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PSR
1 - 1
USW
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 2
PSR
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
USW
0 - 2
LPO
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LPO
5 - 2
WDA
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WLO
1 - 3
LPO
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FLP
2 - 3
LPO
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NPP
2 - 3
LPO
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |