Paceco vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paceco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 0
PPI
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PPI
2 - 1
CCI
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOC
6 - 0
PPI
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
PPI
1 - 2
POR
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PPI
2 - 1
ISO
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
EBO
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
FCI
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
GEL
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
USV
20%
27%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |