Pol. Ciliverghe vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MEZ
1 - 1
PSM
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
2 - 1
CRE
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PSM
1 - 4
FAN
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
PSM
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PSM
2 - 2
ASD
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 0
SAV
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRO
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ADR
2 - 2
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
COR
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |