Poligono Toledo vs CD Lillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
PTO
78%
13%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PTO
5 - 3
TOB
53%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 2
PTO
23%
20%
57%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PTO
5 - 1
LOM
65%
18%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BTO
0 - 2
PTO
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 1
RVS
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
VSA
2 - 2
LIL
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 4
CON
32%
22%
46%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TOB
1 - 2
LIL
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LIL
5 - 0
NAM
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |