Policia de Lara vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PDB
3 - 0
POL
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
FRO
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
TIT
3 - 0
POL
82%
13%
5%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 0
POL
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
ATL
12%
20%
67%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAM
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
PDB
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
ZAM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 4
TIT
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ZAM
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |