Policia de Lara vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
PDB
4 - 0
POL
63%
19%
19%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
FRO
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TIT
3 - 0
POL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 1
POL
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POL
1 - 3
ATL
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAM
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
PDB
66%
19%
14%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 1
ZAM
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
TIT
64%
20%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 2
ZAM
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |