Policia de Lara vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 2
POL
78%
14%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
YAR
0 - 0
POL
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
ULA
27%
25%
47%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 0
URE
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
4 - 3
ZAM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
3 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 3
YAR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
GVA
2 - 0
ZAM
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |