Policia de Lara vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
ARR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 2
ULA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CDS
2 - 0
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
LOT
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
URE
1 - 1
LOT
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
URE
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
URE
2 - 1
GVA
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 0
URE
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
URE
1 - 2
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |