Policia de Lara vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
POL
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
POL
3 - 4
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
REA
1 - 3
POL
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
URE
1 - 1
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
URE
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
URE
2 - 0
REA
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
URE
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
URE
1 - 2
TUC
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |