Policia de Lara vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CDS
2 - 0
POL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
LOT
54%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GVA
0 - 0
POL
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 2
ZAM
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
MIN
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
ARR
64%
20%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 1
ULA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ULA
1 - 0
URE
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 0
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ULA
4 - 3
DEP
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |