Policia de Lara vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SCG
6 - 3
POL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
ZAM
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
YAR
2 - 1
POL
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 1
URE
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 1
ULA
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MIN
1 - 0
ULA
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -9 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
ULA
2 - 4
EST
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CFC
6 - 0
ULA
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |