Policia de Lara vs Unión Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
POL
4 - 0
ATL
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
POL
2 - 2
ATL
44%
25%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
POR
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
1 - 2
URE
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
ULA
34%
24%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FAL
1 - 2
ULA
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
ULA
0 - 1
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BAR
5 - 2
ULA
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |