Policia de Lara vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 0
POL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
PDB
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
TIT
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
POL
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
PDB
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 2
FAL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
ZUL
4 - 1
FAL
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
FAL
0 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
FAL
0 - 4
ZUL
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |