Policia de Lara vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
POL
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
CDS
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOT
0 - 1
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
GVA
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ZAM
3 - 0
POL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
ARR
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
FAL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
4 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
CDS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LOT
1 - 2
FAL
39%
25%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |