Policia de Lara vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
URE
2 - 0
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
CDS
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
POL
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SCG
2 - 2
MET
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 1
SCG
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 0
ULA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 1
DEP
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SCG
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |