Policia de Lara vs SC Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
POL
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 1
POL
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
POL
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POL
3 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SC Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 3
URE
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
ULA
1 - 1
SCG
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SCG
1 - 2
LOT
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 2
SCG
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 3
ZAM
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |