Policia de Lara vs Potros de Barinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FRO
0 - 0
POL
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POL
3 - 2
TIT
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -4 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Potros de Barinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PDB
1 - 2
ZAM
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
6 - 1
PDB
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -3 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 2
PDB
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PDB
1 - 2
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PDB
4 - 3
RDC
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -1 |