Policia de Lara vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
URE
2 - 2
POL
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 1
POL
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
FAL
37%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 3
POL
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
CDS
49%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
POR
3 - 2
ARR
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
FAL
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
POR
4 - 1
ULA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 0
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
POR
5 - 1
LOT
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |