Policia de Lara vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POL
1 - 2
URE
39%
28%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MIN
3 - 2
POL
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
POL
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
URE
3 - 0
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
ESC
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIN
0 - 2
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
DIA
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -3 |