Policia de Lara vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
2 - 3
URE
49%
25%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
POL
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
POL
3 - 4
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
REA
1 - 3
POL
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
SCG
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
0 - 1
MET
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
MET
23%
25%
53%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MET
0 - 0
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |