Policia de Lara vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
POL
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
POL
3 - 1
DEP
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 0
POL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
ULA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
URE
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 2
MET
23%
25%
52%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MET
3 - 1
ULA
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
MET
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
MET
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |