Policia de Lara vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
48.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
POL
2 - 2
ZUL
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RDC
0 - 1
POL
10%
16%
74%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PDB
1 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ZUL
3 - 3
LLA
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
MIN
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
LLA
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
TAC
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |