Policia de Lara vs Guatire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
REA
1 - 3
POL
55%
22%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
POL
0 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TUC
1 - 0
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
POL
1 - 2
SCG
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
URE
2 - 0
POL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
MET
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIN
5 - 2
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
REA
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
GUA
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |