Policia de Lara vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2015 |
DIA
5 - 0
POL
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
YAR
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
URE
3 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
MIN
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
URE
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
ESC
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
ESC
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |